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Oscar Handicapper


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Move City News.com charts all the critic's lists and awards for movies. Here's a look at their handicapping for the Oscars and the Golden Globes for Best Picture. Not my attention given to The Passion of the Christ or Farenheit 911...

The Locked Trio

Sideways - Fox Searchlight (GG/C-M)

NY, LA

HFPA

BFCA

Slightly ahead...

Million Dollar Baby - Warner Bros (GG/D)

HFPA

BFCA

Waiting to fight until nominations...

The Aviator - Miramax (GG/D)

HFPA

BFCA

The flashy choice...

 

Really Fighting For The 4-5 Slots

Finding Neverland - Miramax (GG/D)

HFPA

BFCA

Just sits there...

Ray - Universal (GG/C-M)

HFPA

BFCA

... but is anyone really challenging the slot?

x

Hotel Rwanda - MGM (GG/D)

HFPA

BFCA

Like a football team expected to lose just hanging around within striking distance in the fourth quarter

Fahrenheit 9/11

1162...1162... 1162...

The Incredibles - Disney (GG/C-M)

HFPA

Do Academy really hunger for at least one box office smash?

Collateral - DreamWorks

BFCA

Seems too dark... DreamWorks may have laid back a week too early...

 

Golden Globe/BFCA

Eternal Sunshine Of The Spotless Mind - Focus (GG/C-M)

HFPA

BFCA

All the old limitations apply

The Phantom Of The Opera - Warner Bros (GG/C-M)

HFPA

BFCA

The critics will probably have the last word here... though Ken Turan is one of those critics with the Academy's ear

Kinsey - Fox Searchlight (GG/D)

HFPA

BFCA

The thrill has gone...

Closer - Columbia (GG/D)

HFPA

Like an Oscar contender... but not as sweet

 

Still Oscar Longshots

The Motorcycle Diaries - Focus Features

 

The Sea Inside - New Line

 

New Line is throwing everything at it, including intense NYT.com ads... but it's probably going to be The Javi Show

http://www.moviecitynews.com/columnists/po...30_Picture.html

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  • 4 weeks later...

aviator.jpgAviator' Gets 11 Academy Award Nods

By DAVID GERMAIN

BEVERLY HILLS, Calif. (AP) - The Howard Hughes epic "The Aviator" led Academy Awards contenders with 11 nominations Tuesday, including best picture, plus acting honors for Leonardo DiCaprio, Cate Blanchett and Alan Alda and a directing slot for Martin Scorsese.

The boxing saga "Million Dollar Baby" and the J.M. Barrie tale "Finding Neverland" followed with seven nominations each, among them best picture and acting nominations for Clint Eastwood, Morgan Freeman, Hilary Swank and Johnny Depp. The other best-picture nominees were the Ray Charles portrait "Ray" and the buddy comedy "Sideways."

http://apnews.myway.com/article/20050125/D87R5NS01.html

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Clint Eastwood upset Martin Scorcese and took the coveted Best Director's Award from the Director's Guild for his work on Million Dollar Baby. Generally speaking, who ever wins the DGA award, goes on to win the Oscar... We'll see..

http://news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&u=/n...e_eastwood_dc_3

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Screen Actors Guild Awards

February 5, 2005, 10:40 PM EST

A complete list of winners of the 11th annual Screen Actors Guild Awards:

Movies:

Actor: Jamie Foxx, "Ray."

Actress: Hilary Swank, "Million Dollar Baby."

Supporting actor: Morgan Freeman, "Million Dollar Baby."

Supporting actress: Cate Blanchett, "The Aviator."

Cast: "Sideways."

* __

Television:

Actor in a movie or miniseries: Geoffrey Rush, "The Life and Death of Peter Sellers."

Actress in a movie or miniseries: Glenn Close, "The Lion in Winter."

Actor in a drama series: Jerry Orbach, "Law & Order."

Actress in a drama series: Jennifer Garner, "Alias."

Actor in a comedy series: Tony Shalhoub, "Monk."

Actress in a comedy series: Teri Hatcher, "Desperate Housewives."

Drama series cast: "CSI: Crime Scene Investigation."

Comedy series cast: "Desperate Housewives."

* __

Life Achievement Award: James Garner.

http://www.newsday.com/entertainment/news/...nment-headlines

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