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Iran - The Feces Is About To Hit The Fan.


HolyMoly

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We may be on the verge of seeing a revolution in Iran. Reformers, led by Iran's President (Khatami) are now in direct odds with the Islamic hardline Guardian Council ... which disqualified over 1,000 reformist candidates in an upcoming election. The reformers are now beginning the 2nd week of a "sit-in" in Parliament ... threatening to boycott the upcoming election. The hardliners do have part of the military on their side ... but the reformers are confident that the majority of the military is on their side.

Here's the CNN version of current events. The Guardian Council is squarely between a rock and a hard place. If they continue to disqualify reformist candidates, they risk a violent revolution. If they don't, they risk a nonviolent revolution. I suspect it will all boil down to how much GC members want to live ... since, if there's a violent revolution and the reformists prevail, there might be a few "heads on poles" (meant literally).

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Khatami's pro-reform League of Combatant Clerics, following a meeting of it's central committee on Sunday, decided that "if the current situation, under which not all legal (political) factions can compete freely, continues, there is no reason for the League to take part in the parliamentary elections," liberal newspapers reported Monday.
In an apparent bid to defuse the election row, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the last word on all state affairs, last week urged the Guardian Council to review the list of disqualified candidates.

Those two quotes call into question whether or not we can fully appreciate their troubles.

The pro-reform party is called the League of Combatant Clerics.

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Khatami's pro-reform League of Combatant Clerics, following a meeting of it's central committee on Sunday, decided that "if the current situation, under which not all legal (political) factions can compete freely, continues, there is no reason for the League to take part in the parliamentary elections," liberal newspapers reported Monday.
In an apparent bid to defuse the election row, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has the last word on all state affairs, last week urged the Guardian Council to review the list of disqualified candidates.

Those two quotes call into question whether or not we can fully appreciate their troubles.

The pro-reform party is called the League of Combatant Clerics.

Apparently, the Guardian Council has completed their "review" of the disqualified candidates and has chosen to stand firm:

http://www.philly.com/mld/dailynews/news/local/7744503.htm

I think that only an Iranian can appreciate the depth of this divide. But, it's clear that feces is about to hit the fan. I'm closely watching NITV's site (the Iranian-exile satellite station in Southern California) and the English Al-Jazeera site for their take on this. They've not yet commented on the Guardian Council's decision to stand firm.

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